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MATCH: Lazio – Bayern Munich

PICK: 2 – Away Win

ODD: 1.70

FT: 1:4  WIN 


Lazio are yet to lose a UEFA Champions League (UCL) match this term, but that accolade will be tested to the limit by the reigning holders. Ahead of kickoff, none of the Rome side’s last ten competitive matches in a row have ended in a draw (W8, L2), but a run of seven competitive home wins – with a clean sheet in four – can inspire them against a crimson colossus.
Five of those home wins saw Lazio leading at HT, after netting the opener before the 25th minute – a feat they achieved in all three of their UCL group stage home fixtures. Further to Lazio’s penchant for quick starts in European action here, they averaged 2.0 goals per match inside the opening 30 minutes across their UCL group stage home games.
Though winless in two competitive matches (D1, L1) – and trailing at HT 2-0 in both games – Bayern Munich are favourites for a reason. Notably, they averaged a high of 3.0 goals per game in their UCL group (W5, D1), winning at HT/FT on four occasions. Additionally, four of those five wins saw Bayern beat a -1 handicap, netting at least twice after the break in all four.
Failing to keep a fourth straight clean sheet on the road in the Bundesliga, the visitors lost to Frankfurt last time out (2-1). However, each of their previous three away league wins saw them open the scoring inside the first half and record a HT/FT double.
Players to watchCiro Immobile (LAZ) has found the net inside the opening 30 minutes in three of his four UCL goalscoring matches this term, whilst Kingsley Coman (BAY) has scored two of his three UCL goals after the break.
Hot stat: Seven (W6, L1) of the last eight UCL matches at this stage involving Bayern have yielded 2+ goal margin.

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